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Extra info for Bloomberg Businessweek (2 July 2012)
In the process of wealth-building, it becomes necessary to dispose of issues that are likely to impede portfolio performance. Emotional attachment runs the risk of staying with a losing position to “just have to have that stock”, or believing it is “bound to come back”. Sometimes, stocks don’t come back. And when they do, the result may be frustration selling, usually below the purchase price, all the while thinking about the opportunity costs. Sell the breakdowns This boils down to being vigilant of important support levels (resistance levels if you’re short) and getting out of the position if this level is violated.
This calculation produces an oscillator that swings from positive (overbought) extremes to negative (oversold) extremes. We have found that the 10-day A-D moving average is a good short-term indicator while the 25-day A-D moving average is a good intermediate term indicator. 41 C onc ep ts in techn ic al ana lys is 1 4 Ma y 201 3 10-Day & 25 Day A-D MAs Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Percentage of Stocks above Their 200-day Moving Average This indicator is a very useful intermediate term gauge of market breadth.
A word of caution: Insider buying is much more timely than insider selling. Insiders might sell stock for any number of reasons other than a potential top in their company’s stock. Paying for a child's education or buying a new home are good examples. However, an insider would purchase stock for only one reason – to make money. The concept of strengthin-numbers certainly applies here. When a number of insiders are buying significant volumes of stock, it's a very strong positive signal. When a number of insiders are selling significant volumes of stock, it should be cause for concern.